@inproceedings{oai:kutarr.kochi-tech.ac.jp:00000929,
 author = {Kobayashi, Kiyoshi and Kaito, Kiyoyuki},
 book = {Society for Social Management Systems Internet Journal},
 issue = {1},
 month = {Mar},
 note = {The estimation of ground subsidence processes is an important subject for the asset management of airport facilities. In the planning and design stage, there exist many uncertainties in geotechnical conditions, it is impossible to estimate the ground subsidence process by deterministic methods. In this paper, the sets of sample paths designating ground subsidence processes are generated by use of a one dimensional consolidation model incorporating inhomogeneous ground subsidence. Given the sample paths, the mixed subsidence model is presented to describe the probabilistic structure behind the sample paths. The mixed model can be updated by the Bayesian methods based upon the newly obtained monitoring data. Concretely speaking, in order to estimate the updating models, Markov Chain Monte Calro method, which is the frontier technique in Bayesian statistics, is applied. Through a case study, this paper verified the validity of the proposed method and illustrated its possible application and future works.},
 publisher = {Society for Social Management Systems},
 title = {A Hybrid Ground Subsidence Prediction Model for Airport Pavement Management},
 volume = {5},
 year = {2009}
}